Private Market Deal Intelligence

Deal Review

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Untested priors

Active Opportunities

Resolved / Historical Outcomes

Deals that have already resolved (acquired, IPO'd, or written down) are kept separate from active opportunities — they inform the model, they aren't something you can still invest in.

Methodology & Confidence

How the composite score is built, what it doesn't yet account for, and every known data-quality issue in this dataset.

Composite weights (current)

These are the spec's starting priors, not yet informed by real outcomes.

Reading the confidence badge

Every score shows how many of the 4 weighted factors were actually available for that deal — not just whether the deal "looks" complete.

  • 4/4 — full data: comps-derived valuation delta, founder score, investor score, and a secondary-market reference price all present.
  • 2–3/4 — partial: usually missing valuation_delta_vs_comps, because deal emails almost never disclose revenue, so there's nothing to compare against public comps.
  • Missing factors are never treated as zero — the remaining weights are renormalized to sum to 1, so a deal isn't penalized for a factor no one could have measured.

Known data-quality issues

Surfaced automatically from enrichment/scoring notes across the dataset — not exhaustive, but everything flagged so far:

What this tool doesn't do yet

  • No point-in-time comps — public multiples are pulled at enrichment time, not as of the deal date.
  • key_leader_score (for de facto leaders who aren't legal founders, e.g. a President/CTO who joined post-founding) is tracked but not yet wired into the composite formula.
  • Backtesting against 1–3 year old deals with known outcomes hasn't been run yet — the weights below are the spec's flat starting priors, full stop.